GREEN BAY PACKERS (4-3) at NEW YORK JETS (5-1)
Posted on October 30, 2010
Kickoff: Sunday, 1:00 p.m. EDT, Line: New York –6, Total: 42
The Jets go for their first six-game winning streak in 12 years when they host the injury-laden Packers on Sunday. New York is also 5-0 ATS during the victory string and is well-rested after last week’s bye. The Packers snapped a four-game ATS losing skid (including two straight outright losses) when they defeated Brett Favre and Vikings on Sunday night.
This is not a good matchup for Green Bay, which has allowed 346 rushing yards in its past two games. The Jets are second in the NFL in rushing offense, racking up an impressive 159 yards per game on the ground this year.
Aaron Rodgers has had a terrible season for his lofty standards. After throwing for 58 TD to 20 INT in the previous two seasons, he has only 12 TD and nine interceptions this season. In contrast, Jets QB Mark Sanchez has had an excellent 9 TD/2 INT ratio in his second year, which is a big improvement from his 12-TD, 20-INT rookie season. Speaking of turnovers, the Jets lead the NFL with a +10 rating, having just four giveaways and creating 14 takeaways.
The Jets have won all three meetings since 2000, including two straight blowouts (38-10 in 2006 and 42-17 in 2002). Despite everything seemingly in the Jets’ favor, the FoxSheets lean heavily to the underdog Green Bay to at least cover, including this five-star whopper.
Mike McCarthy is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points as the coach of GREEN BAY. The average score was GREEN BAY 26.2, OPPONENT 18.7 – (Rating = 5*).
And this FoxSheets trend advises to play the Over.
Play Over – Road teams where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (GREEN BAY) – off 1 or more straight overs against opponent off 2 or more consecutive overs. (42-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.7%, +25.5 units. Rating = 3*).
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